Three Lessons & “INSIGHTS” of 2022

Greetings ‼️

Bye bye 2022…

Of course, we cannot say that we are closing Calendar Year 2022 on a very high note but comparably what we had gone through during the year we can safely conclude (say) that working has been satisfactory but subsequent improvement is required too.

Below are three Insights – which we never had seen / experienced in the last 22 Years of our actively watching the Market.

First Lesson or Insight:

In spite of all kinds of the Bad News, for example: War News, Rising Inflation, Depreciating Rupee, relentless Selling by FIIs, Global Markets’ Down Trend, Border Disputes & Issues, Rising Interest Rates- still NIFTY50 could find the bottom and make New All Time High.

Agreed that on bad news Market did see Sell off but quick to find the bottom also.

What actually had happened in the Last 5 Quarters of Calendar Year 2021 & 2022:

  • October 2021 – All Time High 18604
  • December 2022 – All Time High 18887.60

In between recorded 52 week Low has been at 15183.40

That is not even 20% at Index Levels from October 2021 High. 

Agreed Stocks had seen / experienced strong beating but even then overall Trend remained range bound since last 5 Quarters.

Which means those who were Buyers (die-hard bulls) and Trades without Stop-loss only made money in Calendar Year 2022.

The Indian Stock Markets’ die-hard bulls are now dependent on SIP Money. Shaking off their confidence will definitely have to be a domestic issue / matter.

Global Matters impact FIIs and not to the SIPs. 🙂🙏🏽

Second Lesson or Insight:

Most fundamental companies of Indian Stock Markets had fallen 30%, 40% from their respective All Time Highs, for example – TCS, INFY and still trading at & near their respective 52 week lows.

Whereas Good Story Tellers like ADANIENT have tripled during the same period. And still trading near 52 week Highs.

Another Example: PAYTM listed on 18 November 2021 at ₹1955 levels and today trading around ₹550 levels – 75% value lost.

What an irony – now the same PAYTM management is bringing up the Buy back offer at ₹810 levels. Mind you there is no rights issue, bonus, and/or split took place in the last 13 months of listing.

Is it not qualified a kind of the white collar crime ⁉️

No one ever made a decision because of a number. They need a story.

Daniel Kahneman, in Michael Lewis’ “The Undoing Project

Government Stocks are no better, for example: LICI – listed on 17 May 2022 at ₹918.95 levels and today trading around 680 levels – 30% value lost.

  • The government sold its holding of LICI to Retailers at 950 levels.
  • Old timers should relate the same good story telling to COALINDIA of 2014.

Barring IRCTC none of the other Government IPO ever made retailers happy.

Making this derogatory statement based on a limited number of examples Pardon me in advance, if I missed out any other name. 

And, Rumours already started doing the rounds about unified insurance licences, mergers and acquisitions of other subsidiaries / other government companies with LICI to shore up the Market value. However, even then,

We are waiting to BUY LICI at & below ₹550 NSE Cash levels for long term investments.

Just like our call of Buying “YESBANK” ₹11 a piece

On the other hand the likes of TCS INFY have a proven track record, honest promoters, cash rich, debt free, stable business processes, less depended on government policies etc but they are not trading at their all time high. 

But, the likes of ADANIENT go on to become double triple in less than 12 months.

Shup Up & Keep Talking. 🙂🙏🏽

Third Lesson & Insights:

Above Two Insights are nothing more than a Post Mortem but taking the right decision at the right time is only important.

Few of our decisions are mentioned below, though we could not take advantage of any but still we were spot compared to many other “So Called Experts, Analyst and Market Participants”.


There is only one option:

Trade without Capital constraint or say in different way that is – more number of positions so that trading diversified in nature, Follow Stop Loss Levels – Hold on to Positions by Sitting Tight.

Now, we found our way around next Year and thereafter next year And that is not getting influenced by the surroundings because that has not been proven good for the Trading Account and/or performance.

But this is Valid only for the Range Bound Markets. 

More Capital More Peaceful Nights 🙂🙏🏽

Welcome To 2023:

Majority of People are in Stock Market for overnight Success.

And that is why they do Intraday and Options Trading and both is either gambling or insider trading or at times both. We should not be doing either.

Whereas, we fall under the category of minority. You should too. 

Please Treat all the Stock Market Trading / investments just like any other Buying or Selling decisions of yours in any other thing. 

Because, there is hardly any difference between Real life decisions and Stock Market decisions when it comes to MONEY matters.

Our Primary focus is to give you best possible Entry Exit levels given the circumstances (market situations), Profit or Loss is secondary and beyond our control.

That is our limitations…🙂🙏🏽

Rocket Trades

Call, Text: +91 99003 30558

Nilesh Jain, Trading Counselor

SEBI RA: INH200002978, Bengaluru

E-Mail ID:

NSE Cash Stocks / Equity: Panic Buying Levels 🙂👇

Azadi Ka Amrit Mahotsav 🇮🇳 ‼️

Today we are celebrating 75 Years of our Freedom.

We have seen DotCom Bubble Bust (2000), Great Financial Crisis (2008), and now Covid-19 (2020) and based on prior experiences we are suggesting following plan of action.

  • You must keep your investable funds in Fixed Deposit or in a Physical Gold (Silver).
  • Wait patiently for Next round of Crisis, Trouble, Panic, whether Financial or otherwise.

Please don’t follow this blindly. Most importantly, we are available to help as usual. No hesitation – ask your question freely.

Furthermore, we advise you to evaluate this from all angles and depending upon your financial requirements either follow this fully as mentioned here or in parts.

Advised in March 2020 👇

Now, Please Understand Three Things,

  • First: Don’t Assume that Crash / Fall is near.
  • Second: But it does not mean Crash / Fall would not happen.
  • Lastly: This is just a Idea / Concept. Final Levels at the Time of Fall.

Treat This as Homework. Rather Tentative Planning for that Impending Fall.

Here are Panic Levels to do long term Cash Investments.

We don’t suggest Cash Blocking at NIFTY50 levels of 18000.

Closing Comments:

Our strategy is to accumulate cash over long duration to deploy in lump sum at a very specific time / market levels. Which means, if you are in Stock Market for quick gains then definitely we aren’t the right ONE for You. Patience is Key here.

  • Panic means End of World Scenarios at Country Levels.
  • Crisis means Macro Issues at Individual Company Levels.

Investments at these times has huge Margin of Safety.

And, Reward remains unknown. Possibly Multi-Bagger.

We had seen these things happening. Sometimes you are spoil of choices (like March 2020) and many times there is dry spell like the one we saw from January 2021 To June 2022 period.

Some Levels for NIFTY50:

  • At present 14200 is First Entry Level – Correction Stage.
  • Second Entry Level – 11500 – Recession Stage
  • Third & Last Stage – 9300 – Depression

During 2008 Crash we had depression stage Entry. And after that immediate recovery.

Likewise, Covid-19 pandemic market Crash came & bounced from Recession levels itself.

Importance of Stop-loss:

In Stock Market whether Trading &/or Investing must be done with Stop-loss.

Stop-loss is a safety precautions. Must not be ignored.

Because, even In life Fortune doesn’t take much time to change. And, in Stock Market fortune could change overnight.

Only Stop-loss can give you second chance. 🙂

How to Apply Stop-loss & Re-Entry Rules:

Practical Example:

Suppose, You brought YESBANK Shares at 155 Levels with 95 as Cash Closing Basis Stop-loss. When prices closed below 95 NSE Cash then you have no option but to book losses. Ruthless Execution. No second thoughts.

  • Result: 39% Capital Loss. You feel Bad, Very Bad.

But, imagine the mental relief when you saw YESBANK trading in range of 10 To 20 for close to next three years. Now, here are two possible Re-Entry points,

First: Wait for prices to come back above 95 to Buy back the same quantity.


Second: BUY at Government declared Floor Price. RBI had mandated at ₹12 per share price in case of YESBANK. And, entire financial world did invest in YESBANK at & below same level only.

Retail people (like you & me) got Entry in range of 10 To 12 for close to 3 Months after announcement of that Floor Prices.

And if you are buying then buy the same quantity what you exited at 95 levels.

Recall there was no floor pricing in cases of DHFL, IL&FS, ADAG Group Stocks…

Here we must recall the case of Satyam Computers which was taken over by Mahindra & Mahindra Group, way back in 2010 which is now functional in name of Tech Mahindra.

This is also a kind of Floor Pricing Example, where You are buying same quantity at & around take-over pricing.

Same thing had happened earlier in case of Global Trust Bank, here GTB was amalgamated with Oriental Bank of Commerce (now PNB). This is in net Loss till date, But a reasonable one. Because, at least your capital didn’t go to Zero.

Lastly, You must not use these levels for Derivatives. Neither for Futures nor for options. Panic Levels are Purely meant only for Long Term Cash Investment.

Need more help?

☎ +91 9900330558, Bengaluru; Preferably during Market Hours (9am to 4:00pm).