Be Alert, either Nifty is towards 8300 or 9800+

Presently, we are cautiously optimistic & remain buyers.

However, at the same time we are keeping our mind wide open for new down trend which would starts from unexpected Nifty level & on the time when it least expected.

Only, because, as of now, every “Public” market player is waiting for that down trend / corrections.

Whereas, Private Players has capacity to keep making fresh highs one after another, and according to us, they would stop only when Public Players stops doubting and starts expect this to continue forever.

Old hands would remember 2014-2015 period when Nifty moved from 6000 to 9000 non-stop without any meaningful correction.

 

 

There are only two groups, based on Risk capital’s availability, namely

~ Private (Promoters, Industry Insiders, HNI)

~ Public (Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, Foreign Individuals)

 

Our market Participates’ Segmentation is based on Capitalism.

Privates Players are maker of primary Trend, and always first to BUY or Short Sell for that matter.

Public players are always late because of obvious reasons therefore part of secondary trend.

 

 

However, Research Analysts are referred as either Fundamentalist or Technicians and some are on both parameters. And that’s nothing to be with Public and Private participates or/& capitalist.

 

 

Our proprietary analysis system involves around Private players activities.

Many times, we are damn right about Market bottom or top. And,

Of course, on few occasions we get trapped, too.

However, rest assured; we are trying to improvise on constant basis.

That’s why, many a times, our clients get surprised with our sudden change of market stance.

Be Ready, New Trend is just around the corner… but until then remain bullish !

Cash Intraday, Options, Futures, which one better?

This is a judgemental question, which may appeal too many but few may discard it completely.

And there is nothing wrong about it. Because, World / universe are full of multiple choices because not one fit all strategy is workable all the time.

However, we are sharing our own experience and thoughts to help you decide by presenting all the possibilities and facts before you.

According to us Futures is best Trading Instrument in comparison to Cash Intraday & Options.

Here are my reasons to justify above statement.

Table: Explaining Plus & minus points of various Trading Segments

SL.

Parameters Futures Options

Cash Intraday

1

Leverage on Invested Capital

Reasonable

Over Leveraged Uniformity lacks
2 Trading Participation & volume High Low

Low

3

Expiry Carry Forward Facility Least Expensive NOT Possible

Expensive

4

Standard Lot Size Trading YES YES

NOT Possible

5

Ask Bid Trading Liquidly Reasonable Uniformity lacks

Reasonable

6 Trading Choice & Analysis Highly Focused Multiple Choice

Least Focused

 

All over analysis suggest that Positional Trading in Futures Segment is risk worth taking in comparison to Cash Intraday & Options Trading.

Few more points to ponder:

~ An intraday position has to be closed before 3:20pm every working day, irrespective of anything. Because not all the movement come

~ Options start losing value during last 8 days of expiry, even though prices are going in favour because of time value of Money principle.

~ One can’t ride whole price swing if trading either in Intraday &/or Options segment.

Whereas, above limitations are not there in Futures.

Short Term Capital Gain Tax is uniformly applicable on all three segments.

Most importantly, this notion that Futures need high capital is wrong. Because, what you are paying as span margin to broker is nothing but a deposit which is 100% safe.

Lastly, I agree that some time Futures generate unbearable losses also but again that depends on one’s actual capacity & confidence on Market movements. In other words, no RISK no REWARD.

Therefore, our conclusion is that if one is willing to take Stock market Risk then better to take in Futures only. Intraday and Options are not worth taking at-all.

We are back on Road to Recovery…

We started December 2016 expiry with extra caution after November hiccups and GOOD NEWS is that we are on track and BAD NEWS is that progress is little slow but rest assured it is only for the time being.

During December month, we have had taken 5 trading decisions for INDICES segment,

~ Doing of Rollover of BUY Positions in DEC at 8060 levels on 23rd November.

~ On November Expiry Day we created Hedge by Short Selling in JAN contract at 8040 levels

~ We broke hedge by exiting from DEC Long Positions at 8265 on 30th November. And given BANKNIFTY 50% Short Sell at 18720 levels with 8300 Spot Index closing Basis for all open positions.Read More »