Diwali 2018 NIFTY Target 8000 – 8200

Greetings !

First Thing First – “The Disclosure”:

Rocket Trades is neither biased nor acting too alarmist. Rather, trying to be realist.

Our focus is on proprietary Technical Analysis and based on it’s reading only we arrive on a particular conclusion.

However, This is not the first time we are giving extended, (some might think) imaginary NIFTY Targets especially given prevailing levels of 10300 under such a bullish environment.

Therefore, two examples might be enough to support, I guess. Screen Shot attached.

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Be Alert, either Nifty is towards 8300 or 9800+

Presently, we are cautiously optimistic & remain buyers.

However, at the same time we are keeping our mind wide open for new down trend which would starts from unexpected Nifty level & on the time when it least expected.

Only, because, as of now, every “Public” market player is waiting for that down trend / corrections.

Whereas, Private Players has capacity to keep making fresh highs one after another, and according to us, they would stop only when Public Players stops doubting and starts expect this to continue forever.

Old hands would remember 2014-2015 period when Nifty moved from 6000 to 9000 non-stop without any meaningful correction.

 

 

There are only two groups, based on Risk capital’s availability, namely

~ Private (Promoters, Industry Insiders, HNI)

~ Public (Mutual Funds, Insurance Companies, Foreign Individuals)

 

Our market Participates’ Segmentation is based on Capitalism.

Privates Players are maker of primary Trend, and always first to BUY or Short Sell for that matter.

Public players are always late because of obvious reasons therefore part of secondary trend.

 

 

However, Research Analysts are referred as either Fundamentalist or Technicians and some are on both parameters. And that’s nothing to be with Public and Private participates or/& capitalist.

 

 

Our proprietary analysis system involves around Private players activities.

Many times, we are damn right about Market bottom or top. And,

Of course, on few occasions we get trapped, too.

However, rest assured; we are trying to improvise on constant basis.

That’s why, many a times, our clients get surprised with our sudden change of market stance.

Be Ready, New Trend is just around the corner… but until then remain bullish !

Cash Intraday, Options, Futures, which one better?

This is a judgemental question, which may appeal too many but few may discard it completely.

And there is nothing wrong about it. Because, World / universe are full of multiple choices because not one fit all strategy is workable all the time.

However, we are sharing our own experience and thoughts to help you decide by presenting all the possibilities and facts before you.

According to us Futures is best Trading Instrument in comparison to Cash Intraday & Options.

Here are my reasons to justify above statement.

Table: Explaining Plus & minus points of various Trading Segments

SL.

Parameters Futures Options

Cash Intraday

1

Leverage on Invested Capital

Reasonable

Over Leveraged Uniformity lacks
2 Trading Participation & volume High Low

Low

3

Expiry Carry Forward Facility Least Expensive NOT Possible

Expensive

4

Standard Lot Size Trading YES YES

NOT Possible

5

Ask Bid Trading Liquidly Reasonable Uniformity lacks

Reasonable

6 Trading Choice & Analysis Highly Focused Multiple Choice

Least Focused

 

All over analysis suggest that Positional Trading in Futures Segment is risk worth taking in comparison to Cash Intraday & Options Trading.

Few more points to ponder:

~ An intraday position has to be closed before 3:20pm every working day, irrespective of anything. Because not all the movement come

~ Options start losing value during last 8 days of expiry, even though prices are going in favour because of time value of Money principle.

~ One can’t ride whole price swing if trading either in Intraday &/or Options segment.

Whereas, above limitations are not there in Futures.

Short Term Capital Gain Tax is uniformly applicable on all three segments.

Most importantly, this notion that Futures need high capital is wrong. Because, what you are paying as span margin to broker is nothing but a deposit which is 100% safe.

Lastly, I agree that some time Futures generate unbearable losses also but again that depends on one’s actual capacity & confidence on Market movements. In other words, no RISK no REWARD.

Therefore, our conclusion is that if one is willing to take Stock market Risk then better to take in Futures only. Intraday and Options are not worth taking at-all.