Stock Futures: Weapons of Mass Destruction ‼️

Why this Negative Headline…

It may be your first thought.

This is not the negative thought, but a Conclusion of last 6 Months.

Because, what all happened in Six Months (August 2021 To January 2022) has not been experienced earlier. As, you can see from the attached chart.

10000pts plus Price Action and that to be only from Highest Point To Lowest Point. Intraday Volatility is not counted. Today, all this looks just fine but every single day was unique. No running away we witnessed those volatility in real time.


Experience Helped us

We have been in Stock Market from Year 1999 and seen three major Bear Markets (2000, 2008, 2020) and numerous price corrections in between.

All these years one constant thing we have found is: PEOPLE ARE IN,

Hurry to Buy. Hurry to Sell.

This is what is weapons of mass destruction

For them No Patience, No Discipline, No Logic, No Strategy. Just about News, Events, Announcements, nothing else. However, our approach is different.

We have three Recent Examples to elaborate more on this,

First: Nasdaq listed Facebook (New Name: “Meta“)

Second: NSE Listed TORNTPHARM

Third: NSE Listed ICICIGI

First

Facebook: Lost about 238 Billion Dollar Market Capitalization is a single Day Trading. That is because of 26% Fall from the previous Day Closing on 4th Quarterly Result announcement.

In Indian Context that means Losing more than a “RELIANCE”

However, this was balanced out by Amazon, Apple and Google (Alphabet)

Even then, NASDAQ is in Bear Market. If we go by standard 20% fall from All time High definition. And, all this has happen in just 2 Months.

But question remain: Was this fall artificially Triggered ⁉️

Because of this fall in Facebook it will be out of preview of Anti-Trust Scrutiny proceedings by House Legislators. In other words bleeding in disguise for Long Term Investors.

There is no Straight Answer.

Second:

TORNTPHARM: We have given this Call on 13 December 2021 and Exited on 27 January 2022 – after holding for 33 Trading Sessions. Obviously, did Rollover to January Expiry also.

And During this period we had not seen even a single day negative closing.

All days were positive Mark to Margin irrespective of NIFTY50 general weakness. Even after Omicron driven Medical Emergency made States to go for Shut-Downs, Weekend Curfew, etc.

BUT, on 27 January 2022 because of Result Impact or something else TORNTPHARM opened 15% Gap Down thereby triggering our Stop-Loss of 2800.

But even then we did not exit until next day.

Reason was simple: initially we thought this is just an over reaction.

Today, Tomorrow Management will issue clarification / Press Release and Prices would stabilize if not recover immediately but required help from Promotors / Long Term Investors did not come as intended.

Result: Loss of ₹120000 per lot basis. 😔

But question remain: Was this fall artificially Triggered ⁉️

Agreed, Results were not that outstanding but they were not so bad either.

If our analysis was wrong then why not my Stop-Loss got triggered before.

Remember we were holding for 33 Trading Days or 45 Calendar Days.

There is no Straight Answer.

Third:

ICICIGI: This is exact similar to TORNTPHARM only thing is Stop Loss Triggered but we are still holding. Because of Four Reasons,

  • Small Lot Size
  • Best Group, Great Sector
  • Tiny Span Margin Requirement, and
  • We didn’t have any replacement Call just yet.

But question remain: Was this fall artificially Triggered ⁉️

This Stock does not participate What may happen in NIFTY50 (Stock Market). In other words, Neither Fall with Market nor show recovery with Market.

If our analysis was wrong then why had all time high at 1675 in NSE Cash upon our Entry.

Agreed, we should not be emotional with the Positions. But Remember if we can exit from TORNTPHARM ruthlessly then Exiting from ICICIGI is also not a big deal. Exit can be taken any day any time.

There is no Straight Answer.

Pillars’ Strategy Straight Answer…

We are independent, unbiased, Professional Market Analyst, therefore we always remain to answer, accountable to our Members of 💯% Club. And, followings are our Straight answers,

  • In last 6 Months (August 2021 to January 2022) as depict by attached NIFTY50 Chart Market is way to Volatile, Therefore we are giving very less number of Calls. Only 12 Trading Calls were given and Closed accordingly. Net Result: ₹170000 Including TORNTPHARM.
  • Opportunity were lost in FEDERALBNK and MCDOWELL-N. Otherwise, today situation could have much better. But, no problem as we recovered from HAVELLS same way will do for TORNTPHARM.
  • NIFTY50 Trend remains Bullish. Waiting for Reversal. There is high probability that our Next Big Profitable Call/s will be from the Short Sell Side. We just have to wait for that proper Set-up. Time is Secondary. As TORNTPHARM shown us that One Day is enough.

Most importantly, When we are available to answer your query, clear doubt, attaining Calls, replying to WhatsApp, SMS E-Mail then why to worry. Profit & Loss are part of Stock Market Trading. Have Patience, follow our Discipline, Logic, and Strategy.

IF we stay on course then Tomorrow and future will be a golden day.

Need more help?

☎ +91 9900330558, Bengaluru; Preferably during Market Hours (9am to 4:00pm).

Guaranteed. Success Mantra – Welcome To 2022 ‼️

Today is first working day of the New Year. And first off,

We give you written Guarantee, Commitment, Promise, Assurance that you will get 💯% honest accuracy from us – what may come in 2022.

Honest Accuracy means 100% Transparency.

No unpleasant Surprises from our side, what may come.

The very object of our existence is to make you even more stronger – both emotionally and financially; and, that is what you will get from us, day in day out.

This is our Guarantee, Commitment, Promise, Assurance on this first working day of 2022 for the rest of the Year. 🙂🙏🏽

Secondly, You may ask What could come ⁉️

Short & Sweet answer is “Wild & Abnormal Volatility” which will look like price action of 2020 and 2021 as a child’s play.

Reasons could be anything, few are listed below for an Idea,

  • Will S&P500 top 6000+ levels ?
  • Will GOLD top $3,000 per ounce ?
  • Will Adani Group becomes India’s Evergrande ?
  • Did WWIII just commence in the Ukraine / Taiwan ?
  • After LIC Government Plan IPOs of Railways, Indian Post ?
  • Cryptos would lead bubbles bust across Assets Classes including Stocks, Bonds, Commodity, Real Estate ?

Okay. You got the Idea that NIFTY50 / SENSEX may go to unbelievable levels even in 2022, just like they did all the while, however, reasons could be anything therefore not relevant to discuss.

You likely have opinions / views on those upcoming unbelievable Market levels. Many Traders & Analysts do. Important is our plan of action and your execution capabilities, Nothing Else.


Our advice is to trust your gut and follow our Stop-loss.

And, rest assured, Your guesses and, our Entry Exit levels are better than most.


Each day shall unfold before you to reinforce the same. Market would keep confirming via its action in due course, we are not in doubt so you must not be either.


Success Mantra: “ONE”

With all that (Yuan Currency Devaluation, Surgical Strikes, Demonetisation, GST, YESBANK, DHFL, COVID-19, Lockdown driven Tragic Deaths & Financial Hardships) behind us, and as we wave goodbye to another bizarre, exciting, surreal year, what stored in for 2022, and the next decade?

Honest Answer is We Don’t Know: as oldies and not so oldies traders are well aware, we do not pretend to predict the future. We leave the predicting to the “smartest people in the room” who year after year have been consistently wrong about everything, and never more so than in 2021.

After a deranged (mad, insane) 2021, anything and everything can happen in 2022 – including repeat of a mega collapse like March 2020 ‼️

As usual, Rocket Trades will be there each and every day- (every year from 2015) to react by building-up trading strategy & planning for all the possible scenarios for whatever Market’s action is.

Success Mantra: “TWO”

Stock Market is deeply divided place. By design, consensus doesn’t work here. This is not a conspiracy “theory”, rather this is an openly admitted reality.

Listed below two examples to make things more clearer.

Sound Smart or Get Rich – You Can’t Do Both.

Great Mystery of 2021 – Bearish Example 🐻: Both gold and silver ended the year sharply lower than where they started even though inflation hit the highest level in 40 years.

Great Mystery of 2021 – Bullish Example 🐂: S&P500 is super overvalued based on the CAPE ratio and the Buffett indicator therefore significant risky because there are no sufficient earnings to back it up. And, this was pretty much story for entire of 2021 at 3000, 3500, 4000 and 4500 levels and of course now at 4800 levels.

Bear Market in stocks. Bull Market in indices.


Sequence: Market Movements before happening

Leaving rest to your fine sense of judgement.

Need more help?

☎ +91 9900330558, Bengaluru; Preferably during Market Hours (9am to 4:00pm).

Action Plan: 2022 ‼️

Greetings !!

Please answer following Questions while being honest to yourself…

Rules are very simple, 

  • Read the Question, Close your eyes, think for 10 Seconds, AND
  • Now, you are ready to Answer but only in plain simple “YES” or “NO”

There are no winner nor prizes.

Only objective is to get positive mind frame about Stock Market and its Trading Movements. In other words, we want you to be free from the cycle of greed and fear of market.

“All Anxiety are artificial. It is time to face your demon”. 

Question Number ONE about “FEAR”

In your honest opinion,

Is it possible to forecast 5,000pts NIFTY50 Fall in 20 Working Days by any means possible ?

  • But, as we all know, NIFTY50 did so during MARCH 2020 Expiry.
  • Though Pillars’ Strategy (like many other analysts) was suggesting a correction or may be a Bear Market but not at this magnitude and with a such strong momentum.

Question Number TWO about “GREED”

In your honest opinion,

Is it possible to forecast NIFTY50 one way 11,000pts rally (without any meaningful correction) in flat 18 Months by any means possible ?

  • But, as we all know, NIFTY50 did recover from 7500 levels to 18600 levels – that is from MARCH 2020 To October 2021 Period.
  • Though Pillars’ Strategy (like many other analysts) was suggesting BUYING from time to time but cautiously. No One including ourselves were aggressively enough buying in the Market.

Hopefully, you did answer both the questions in resounding “NO” which means you also agree with us that what NIFTY50 did in last 24 months was unexpected, sudden and not at all possible to forecast by any means possible.

In short, Market takes action first and we can only react to that action.

How we reacted under this circumstances ⁉️

Mind you, Stock Market is unforgiving place (thing). if mistake committed then Escaping without penalty is not possible at all. Better to accept the mistake and move on.

Postponing is suicidal. Honesty is still the best policy for the survival.

We not only preaching but actually practising to the core. Here comes our records, 


Achieved the followings.

Of course, without Clients’ support and encouragement we are nothing.

Started with 5lac Capital. First Did 11lac and then from 11lac did this 👆

Which means, Original 5lac is now 22lac in 24 months – excluding Taxes & our Fees.


But, this was not a Smooth Sailing.

We had our share of losses, disappointments and frustrations.

Disclosure: We regret that we could not convince Few of our Clients’ to continue.

In spite of best efforts and intentions resulted in losing them. 😔


Rest assured, we are improvising and learning from past mistakes, refining the analysis process day in day out.

🙂🙏🏽


Plan of Action for Calendar Year 2022:

Team Rocket Trades was in serious deliberation, discussion, debate during most of the December 2021 and commonly, concluded that:

Calendar Year 2022 could be anything:

  • Strong Up-Trend
  • Strong Down-Trend
  • Volatile Range Bound Market

Any permutation combination is possible for up-coming New Year.

Therefore, better being impartial, and follow the Market on “as it is what it is basis”.

And, in order to get prepared ourselves we took very difficult decisions, made procedural changes in our analysis methodology. For Example,

Part One” – Reducing Net number of Loss Calls:

Improvising and refining all the patterns, formations which had given us losses during Calendar Year 2020 and 2021, Flop Calls like,

  • BHEL
  • HAVELLS
  • BHARATFORG
  • PEL
  • NATIONALUM
  • ICICIBANK – 2021
  • IRCTC 
  • NTPC
  • TATAMOTORS – ’21

We would not repeat trading calls of above patterns for calendar Year 2022 till refinement exercise is done with. Allocation of excess Span Margin would be utilised for trading in the Multiple lots of selected calls.

Best part is none of flop calls was in category of following Super Successful calls, like

  • BAJAJ-AUTO
  • SBIN – March ’21
  • SBIN – December ’21
  • TATAMOTORS
  • TATAPOWER
  • KOTAKBANK
  • SBILIFE
  • APOLLOTYRE
  • ASIANPAINT
  • HINDPETRO
  • TATACHEM

We are planning to do averaging, multiple lots only for these category of calls.

However, Trading Calls like TORNTPHARM, PETRONET, ICICIGI are also of above set.

“AND”,

Still clueless rather investigating why CHOLAFIN flopped whereas similar calls like BRITANNIA and ZEEL work-out during 2021.

But, this pattern is valid for repetition during 2022.

Part Two” – Missed Profits: In form of Missed Entry & Exit Price:

Few Calls like ICICBANK, HINDUNILVR, BATAINDIA of 2020 gave profit but somehow we could not book on time resulting them Cost to Cost Exit. Opportunity Loss.

Likewise, few profit calls like INDIGO, GRASIM, CIPLA, MCDOWELL-N (May), MCDOWELL-N (August), FEDERALBNK missed because of our advised ENTRY prices did not come.

Best part (or worst thing) is we went to negotiate our Entry with Market momentum and missed profit heavily. So, for the Calendar Year 2022 we will go for the aggressive Entry.

Though, Exits will be, as usual, the disciplined and rules based. No Change.

Hopefully, these changes would help us perform in any sort of Market Conditions of 2022.

“AND

Index Trading Call for NIFTY Futures will be Extra added advantage. As, In the last 24 months, we had given only one Call in Index and even in that had 100pts loss per lot basis.

We can hit 50lac Mark from 22lac*

IF, live performance of 2020 and 2021 is any yardstick of our working.

We believe in Transparency, constant refinement and never taking Market on granted basis.


“5 Universal Rules To Double Capital”

95% of News, Events, Announcements in absolute numbers are Scheduled therefore well documented, analysed, and already discounted in prevailing prices. Ignore.

  • Money can be made only in Bullish Markets.
  • Capital must be saved in Bearish Market.
  • Stoploss is the ultimate Back Up Plan.

And, Only Stock Futures can generate 50% to 100% Return in any given 12 Months’ period.

“AND”

“Why only Stock Futures”

Returns come way harder from Options, Cash Investment (Including Penny Stocks, IPOs), Intraday Trading, Index Trading Including MCX.

Only Stock Futures can generate 50% to 100% Return in any given 12 Months’ period.

  • More & More Stocks are getting added in the Derivatives’ Segment with time that means better choices to select (pick) from.
  • Applying Stop-loss is more easy (crystal clear) in Stock Futures then any other market instruments. There is always a element of Hope or lack of motivation in other instruments but not in Stock Futures.
  • General Market Volatility is way higher in Stocks which means Big Price Movements are easy to come by and in Shorter time period.

*Only Twist in all this is nothing but Black Swan Event (unpredictable event) which can stop (change / modify) this possibility to be a reality. Your support, encouragement can help us tide over those Market Risk. Nothing Else.

Need more help?

☎ +91 9900330558, Bengaluru; Preferably during Market Hours (9am to 4:00pm).